Helm

GA-12 House forecast

Safe Rep2024 lines

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Allen 87% chance

  • Ceretta Smith (D)+4% past 7 days13%
  • Rick Allen (R)-3% past 7 days87%

Chance over time

  • Smith13%
  • Allen87%

Chance over time, past month: Smith from 11% to 13%; Allen from 89% to 87%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateSmithAllen
Sep 22, 202611%90%
Sep 29, 20268%93%
Oct 6, 20269%92%
Oct 14, 20269%90%
Oct 21, 202613%86%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

In simulated elections where Smith wins, Democrats win the House in 98 of 100. Where Allen wins, in 91 of 100.

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Context

  • Held by Rep. Rick W. Allen (R)

More in Georgia

13 more House districts

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM