FL-07 House forecast
Likely Rep2026 lines
Polls close
Elijah 74% chance
- Bale Dalton (D)-8% past 7 days27%
- Ryan Elijah (R)+9% past 7 days74%
Chance over time
- Dalton27%
- Elijah74%
Chance over time, past month: Dalton from 34% to 27%; Elijah from 67% to 74%.
| Date | Dalton | Elijah |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 34% | 68% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 34% | 67% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 34% | 65% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 35% | 65% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 27% | 74% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
In simulated elections where Dalton wins, Democrats win the House in 98 of 100. Where Elijah wins, in 89 of 100.
Context
- New lines for 2026: the current FL-07 member was elected on different lines.