Florida 2026 midterms
Updated
Polls close · Tuesday, Nov 3
Statewide at 7:00 PM local time: 7:00 PM ET in most of Florida, 8:00 PM ET in the western Panhandle
13 days away. Results appear on this page as each race is decided.
Statewide races
2 racesSenate specialHeld by RepublicansSafe Rep9%Angie Nixon (D)92%Ashley Moody (R)Moody +1% past 7 daysFull forecast GovernorHeld by RepublicansLikely Rep20%David Jolly (D)81%Byron Donalds (R)Donalds +1% past 7 daysFull forecast
Probabilities from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
House delegation
28 seats- Held today
- D 7 · R 20
- 1 vacant
- Expected seats
- D 8.6 · R 19.4
- Each district’s chance, added up
- Safe D 5
- Lean D 1
- Toss up 1
- Lean R 2
- Likely R 6
- Safe R 13
Florida votes on new district lines for 2026: no seat has a like-for-like incumbent, so no flips are marked.
- District 01Patronis 96% chanceSafe R
- District 02Rogers 93% chanceSafe R
- District 03Cammack 95% chanceSafe R
- District 04Bean 78% chanceLikely R
- District 05Rutherford 93% chanceSafe R
- District 06Fine 95% chanceSafe R
- District 07Elijah 74% chanceLikely R
- District 08Haridopolos 95% chanceSafe R
- District 09Green 70% chanceLean R
- District 10Frost 98% chanceSafe D
- District 11Strada 83% chanceLikely R
- District 12Bilirakis 91% chanceSafe R
- District 13Luna 75% chanceLikely R
- District 14Castor 70% chanceLean D
- District 15Lee 95% chanceSafe R
- District 16Gruters 80% chanceLikely R
- District 17Steube 95% chanceSafe R
- District 18Franklin 95% chanceSafe R
- District 19Schwartzel 95% chanceSafe R
- District 20Schultz 98% chanceSafe D
- District 21Mast 85% chanceLikely R
- District 22Dandiya 55% chanceToss up
- District 23Frankel 96% chanceSafe D
- District 24Gilbert 96% chanceSafe D
- District 25Moskowitz 89% chanceSafe D
- District 26Díaz-Balart 89% chanceSafe R
- District 27Salazar 68% chanceLean R
- District 28Giménez 95% chanceSafe R
News and signals in Florida
Each item links to its source.