Helm

FL-10 House forecast

Safe Dem2026 lines

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Frost 98% chance

  • Maxwell Frost (D)0% past 7 days98%
  • Republicans -1% past 7 days1%

Chance over time

  • Frost98%
  • Republicans1%

Chance over time, past month: Frost from 97% to 98%; Republicans from 2% to 1%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateFrostRepublicans
Sep 22, 202698%2%
Sep 29, 202696%3%
Oct 7, 202697%3%
Oct 14, 202698%2%
Oct 21, 202698%1%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

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Context

  • New lines for 2026: the current FL-10 member was elected on different lines.

More in Florida

27 more House districts

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM