FL-25 House forecast
Safe Dem2026 lines
Polls close
Moskowitz 89% chance
- Jared Moskowitz (D)+14% past 7 days89%
- Scott Singer (R)-14% past 7 days11%
Chance over time
- Moskowitz89%
- Singer11%
Chance over time, past month: Moskowitz from 68% to 89%; Singer from 32% to 11%.
| Date | Moskowitz | Singer |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 69% | 32% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 73% | 26% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 76% | 26% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 76% | 24% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 89% | 11% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Decides House control in 1 of 100 simulations.
In simulated elections where Moskowitz wins, Democrats win the House in 93 of 100. Where Singer wins, in 78 of 100.
Context
- New lines for 2026: the current FL-25 member was elected on different lines.