GA Governor forecast
Polls close
Bottoms 52% chance
- Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)+5% past 7 days52%
- Rick Jackson (R)-4% past 7 days48%
Chance over time
- Bottoms52%
- Jackson48%
Key moments
· Around this time · lead changed
September polls put Jackson narrowly ahead
A YouGov survey released Sept. 23 had Rick Jackson at 45% and Keisha Lance Bottoms at 44%. A week earlier, a Rasmussen Reports poll had Jackson ahead 48-45. Both gaps were within the margin of error, and polls from the summer had shown Bottoms ahead.
WTOC (Atlanta News First): New poll: Ossoff holds double-digit lead over Collins; governor's race in dead heat (opens in a new tab) · FOX 5 Atlanta: New poll shows Jackson holds slight lead over Bottoms in governor's race (opens in a new tab) · Newsweek: Rick Jackson's Chances Boosted Against Keisha Lance Bottoms in Georgia Race (opens in a new tab)
· Around this time · lead changed
Bottoms and Jackson met in their only joint debate
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson met in an Atlanta News First town hall on Oct. 6, answering undecided voters' questions on living costs, Medicaid, data centers and license plate cameras.
Georgia Public Broadcasting: Bottoms and Jackson face off in gubernatorial town hall debate (opens in a new tab) · Atlanta News First: From grocery taxes to Flock cameras: Biggest moments in Georgia governor debate (opens in a new tab)
Chance over time, past month: Bottoms from 61% to 52%; Jackson from 40% to 48%. Press [ and ] to jump between the 2 key moments marked on the line.
| Date | Bottoms | Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 61% | 40% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 53% | 48% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 50% | 50% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 48% | 52% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 52% | 48% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.