Helm

FL-12 House forecast

Safe Rep2026 lines

Polls close

Bilirakis 91% chance

  • Kimberly Overman (D)-2% past 7 days9%
  • Gus Bilirakis (R)+2% past 7 days91%

Chance over time

  • Overman9%
  • Bilirakis91%

Chance over time, past month: Overman from 9% to 9%; Bilirakis from 88% to 91%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateOvermanBilirakis
Sep 23, 202610%87%
Sep 30, 202612%87%
Oct 7, 202613%85%
Oct 14, 202610%89%
Oct 21, 20269%91%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

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Context

  • New lines for 2026: the current FL-12 member was elected on different lines.

More in Florida

27 more House districts

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM