FL-26 House forecast
Safe Rep2026 lines
Polls close
Díaz-Balart 89% chance
- Nicole Locklin (D)0% past 7 days11%
- Mario Díaz-Balart (R)-1% past 7 days89%
Chance over time
- Locklin11%
- Díaz-Balart89%
Chance over time, past month: Locklin from 8% to 11%; Díaz-Balart from 91% to 89%.
| Date | Locklin | Díaz-Balart |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 8% | 91% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 14% | 86% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 11% | 88% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 11% | 89% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 11% | 89% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- New lines for 2026: the current FL-26 member was elected on different lines.