CO-03 House forecast
Lean Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; vote centers are open too
Hurd 70% chance
- Dwayne Romero (D)+3% past 7 days30%
- Jeff Hurd (R)-3% past 7 days70%
Chance over time
- Romero30%
- Hurd70%
Chance over time, past month: Romero from 38% to 30%; Hurd from 63% to 70%.
| Date | Romero | Hurd |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 38% | 63% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 38% | 63% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 27% | 73% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 28% | 73% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 30% | 70% |
Projected margin
Most likely Hurd by 0–3 · 8 in 10: Hurd +8.8 to Romero +6.7
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Hurd by 12+ | 3% |
| Hurd by 9–12 | 6% |
| Hurd by 6–9 | 10% |
| Hurd by 3–6 | 21% |
| Hurd by 0–3 | 23% |
| Romero by 0–3 | 20% |
| Romero by 3–6 | 5% |
| Romero by 6–9 | 8% |
| Romero by 9–12 | 3% |
| Romero by 12+ | 1% |
Helm simulation
In simulated elections where Romero wins, Democrats win the House in 97 of 100. Where Hurd wins, in 89 of 100.
Context
- Held by Rep. Jeff Hurd (R)
More in Colorado
Ballot measures
- Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?No 56%
- Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Yes 59%
- Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?Yes 60%