CO Governor forecast
Safe Dem
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; vote centers are open too
Weiser 97% chance
- Phil Weiser (D)0% past 7 days97%
- Victor Marx (R)0% past 7 days3%
Chance over time
- Weiser97%
- Marx3%
Chance over time, past month: Weiser from 96% to 97%; Marx from 4% to 3%.
| Date | Weiser | Marx |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 97% | 4% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 97% | 3% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97% | 3% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 97% | 3% |
Projected margin
Most likely Weiser by 20–25 · 8 in 10: Weiser +12.8 to Weiser +34.4
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Marx wins | 3% |
| Weiser by 0–5 | <1% |
| Weiser by 5–10 | <1% |
| Weiser by 10–15 | 13% |
| Weiser by 15–20 | 13% |
| Weiser by 20–25 | 29% |
| Weiser by 25–30 | 20% |
| Weiser by 30–35 | 14% |
| Weiser by 35–40 | 4% |
| Weiser by 40+ | 4% |
Helm simulation
Counts toward the simulated number of governorships. There is no published control question for governors.
Context
- Governorship held by Democrats.
More in Colorado
Ballot measures
- Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?No 56%
- Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Yes 59%
- Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?Yes 60%