CO-02 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; vote centers are open too
Neguse 98% chance
- Joe Neguse (D)0% past 7 days98%
- Kelley Dennison (R)0% past 7 days2%
Chance over time
- Neguse98%
- Dennison2%
Chance over time, past month: Neguse from 95% to 98%; Dennison from 3% to 2%.
| Date | Neguse | Dennison |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 95% | 3% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 95% | 2% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 98% | 2% |
Projected margin
Most likely Neguse by 50–55 · 8 in 10: Neguse +36.9 to Neguse +60
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Dennison wins | <1% |
| Neguse by 0–20 | <1% |
| Neguse by 20–30 | 6% |
| Neguse by 30–35 | 2% |
| Neguse by 35–40 | 4% |
| Neguse by 40–45 | 8% |
| Neguse by 45–50 | 20% |
| Neguse by 50–55 | 30% |
| Neguse by 55–60 | 17% |
| Neguse by 60+ | 12% |
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. Joe Neguse (D)
More in Colorado
Ballot measures
- Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?No 56%
- Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Yes 59%
- Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?Yes 60%