Helm

CO-01 House forecast

Safe Dem2024 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; vote centers are open too

Kiros 98% chance

  • Melat Kiros (D)-1% past 7 days98%
  • Christy Peterson (R)0% past 7 days1%

Chance over time

  • Kiros98%
  • Peterson1%

Chance over time, past month: Kiros from 97% to 98%; Peterson from 3% to 1%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateKirosPeterson
Sep 22, 202697%2%
Sep 29, 202697%2%
Oct 6, 202698%2%
Oct 14, 202699%2%
Oct 21, 202698%1%

Projected margin

Most likely Kiros by 65–70 · 8 in 10: Kiros +48.1 to Kiros +73

Margin forecast from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
Projected margin of victory
MarginChance
Peterson wins<1%
Kiros by 0–356%
Kiros by 35–452%
Kiros by 45–503%
Kiros by 50–557%
Kiros by 55–606%
Kiros by 60–6518%
Kiros by 65–7038%
Kiros by 70–7518%
Kiros by 75+3%

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • Held by Rep. Diana DeGette (D)

More in Colorado

Ballot measures

  • Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?No 56%
  • Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Yes 59%
  • Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?Yes 60%

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM