Helm

CO-06 House forecast

Safe Dem2024 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; vote centers are open too

Crow 96% chance

  • Jason Crow (D)+1% past 7 days96%
  • Jason Clark (R)-2% past 7 days2%

Chance over time

  • Crow96%
  • Clark2%

Chance over time, past month: Crow from 96% to 96%; Clark from 4% to 2%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateCrowClark
Sep 23, 202696%4%
Sep 30, 202696%4%
Oct 7, 202696%4%
Oct 14, 202696%4%
Oct 21, 202696%2%

Projected margin

Most likely Crow by 35–40 · 8 in 10: Crow +21.3 to Crow +39.5

Margin forecast from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
Projected margin of victory
MarginChance
Clark wins<1%
Crow by 0–5<1%
Crow by 5–15<1%
Crow by 15–208%
Crow by 20–255%
Crow by 25–3019%
Crow by 30–3526%
Crow by 35–4034%
Crow by 40–452%
Crow by 45+5%

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • Held by Rep. Jason Crow (D)

More in Colorado

Ballot measures

  • Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?No 56%
  • Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Yes 59%
  • Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?Yes 60%

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM