Helm

CO-04 House forecast

Likely Rep2024 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; vote centers are open too

Boebert 73% chance

  • Eileen Laubacher (D)-3% past 7 days27%
  • Lauren Boebert (R)+2% past 7 days73%

Chance over time

  • Laubacher27%
  • Boebert73%

Chance over time, past month: Laubacher from 30% to 27%; Boebert from 69% to 73%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateLaubacherBoebert
Sep 22, 202630%70%
Sep 29, 202630%69%
Oct 7, 202630%70%
Oct 14, 202630%72%
Oct 21, 202627%73%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

In simulated elections where Laubacher wins, Democrats win the House in 97 of 100. Where Boebert wins, in 89 of 100.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • Held by Rep. Lauren Boebert (R)

More in Colorado

Ballot measures

  • Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?No 56%
  • Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Yes 59%
  • Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?Yes 60%

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM