OH-07 House forecast
Likely Dem2026 lines
Polls close
Poindexter 84% chance
- Brian Poindexter (D)+3% past 7 days84%
- Max Miller (R)-4% past 7 days16%
Chance over time
- Poindexter84%
- Miller16%
Chance over time, past month: Poindexter from 78% to 84%; Miller from 21% to 16%.
| Date | Poindexter | Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 78% | 21% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 76% | 24% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 81% | 19% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 81% | 20% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 84% | 17% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Decides House control in 1 of 100 simulations.
In simulated elections where Poindexter wins, Democrats win the House in 94 of 100. Where Miller wins, in 80 of 100.
Context
- New lines for 2026: the current OH-07 member was elected on different lines.