Ohio 2026 midterms
Updated
Polls close · Tuesday, Nov 3
13 days away. Results appear on this page as each race is decided.
Statewide races
2 racesSenate specialHeld by RepublicansProjected flip R → DLean Dem64%Sherrod Brown (D)36%Jon Husted (R)Brown +3% past 7 daysFull forecast GovernorHeld by RepublicansProjected flip R → DLikely Dem79%Amy Acton (D)22%Vivek Ramaswamy (R)Acton +7% past 7 daysFull forecast
Probabilities from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
House delegation
15 seats- Held today
- D 5 · R 10
- Expected seats
- D 6.4 · R 8.6
- Each district’s chance, added up
- Safe D 4
- Likely D 2
- Lean R 1
- Likely R 1
- Safe R 7
Ohio votes on new district lines for 2026: no seat has a like-for-like incumbent, so no flips are marked.
- District 01Landsman 95% chanceSafe D
- District 02Taylor 97% chanceSafe R
- District 03Beatty 97% chanceSafe D
- District 04Jordan 95% chanceSafe R
- District 05Latta 96% chanceSafe R
- District 06Rulli 97% chanceSafe R
- District 07Poindexter 84% chanceLikely D
- District 08Davidson 93% chanceSafe R
- District 09Kaptur 73% chanceLikely D
- District 10Turner 64% chanceLean R
- District 11Brown 98% chanceSafe D
- District 12Balderson 95% chanceSafe R
- District 13Sykes 95% chanceSafe D
- District 14Joyce 97% chanceSafe R
- District 15Carey 71% chanceLikely R
News and signals in Ohio
Each item links to its source.