OH-02 House forecast
Safe Rep2026 lines
Polls close
Taylor 97% chance
- Jennifer Mazzuckelli (D)0% past 7 days2%
- David Taylor (R)-1% past 7 days97%
Chance over time
- Mazzuckelli2%
- Taylor97%
Chance over time, past month: Mazzuckelli from 1% to 2%; Taylor from 98% to 97%.
| Date | Mazzuckelli | Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 2% | 98% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 2% | 97% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 2% | 97% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 1% | 97% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 2% | 97% |
Projected margin
Most likely Taylor by 35–40 · 8 in 10: Taylor +47.6 to Taylor +25.3
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Taylor by 50+ | 6% |
| Taylor by 45–50 | 9% |
| Taylor by 40–45 | 4% |
| Taylor by 35–40 | 32% |
| Taylor by 30–35 | 22% |
| Taylor by 25–30 | 18% |
| Taylor by 20–25 | 5% |
| Taylor by 10–20 | 3% |
| Taylor by 0–10 | 1% |
| Mazzuckelli wins | <1% |
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- New lines for 2026: the current OH-02 member was elected on different lines.