OH-03 House forecast
Safe Dem2026 lines
Polls close
Beatty 97% chance
- Joyce Beatty (D)0% past 7 days97%
- Cleophus Dulaney (R)0% past 7 days2%
Chance over time
- Beatty97%
- Dulaney2%
Chance over time, past month: Beatty from 96% to 97%; Dulaney from 2% to 2%.
| Date | Beatty | Dulaney |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
Projected margin
Most likely Beatty by 45–50 · 8 in 10: Beatty +37.6 to Beatty +58.2
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Dulaney wins | 3% |
| Beatty by 0–25 | 3% |
| Beatty by 25–35 | <1% |
| Beatty by 35–40 | 7% |
| Beatty by 40–45 | 18% |
| Beatty by 45–50 | 28% |
| Beatty by 50–55 | 21% |
| Beatty by 55–60 | 17% |
| Beatty by 60–65 | 3% |
| Beatty by 65+ | 1% |
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- New lines for 2026: the current OH-03 member was elected on different lines.