Helm

WV-01 House forecast

Safe Rep2024 lines

Polls close

Miller 97% chance

  • Vince George (D)+1% past 7 days3%
  • Carol Miller (R)-1% past 7 days97%

Chance over time

  • George2%
  • Miller98%

Chance over time, past month: George from 2% to 2%; Miller from 98% to 98%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateGeorgeMiller
Sep 22, 20262%98%
Sep 29, 20262%98%
Oct 6, 20262%98%
Oct 14, 20262%98%
Oct 21, 20262%98%

Projected margin

Most likely Miller by 30–35 · 8 in 10: Miller +45 to Miller +18.7

Margin forecast from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
Projected margin of victory
MarginChance
Miller by 45+13%
Miller by 40–454%
Miller by 35–4018%
Miller by 30–3524%
Miller by 25–3016%
Miller by 20–2513%
Miller by 15–207%
Miller by 5–154%
Miller by 0–5<1%
George wins<1%

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • Held by Rep. Carol D. Miller (R)

More in West Virginia

Ballot measures

  • West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Yes 95%

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM