WV-02 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close
Moore 97% chance
- Ace Parsi (D)0% past 7 days3%
- Riley Moore (R)0% past 7 days97%
Chance over time
- Parsi3%
- Moore97%
Chance over time, past month: Parsi from 3% to 3%; Moore from 97% to 97%.
| Date | Parsi | Moore |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
Projected margin
Most likely Moore by 25–30 · 8 in 10: Moore +39.8 to Moore +20.2
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Moore by 45+ | 9% |
| Moore by 40–45 | 1% |
| Moore by 35–40 | 17% |
| Moore by 30–35 | 19% |
| Moore by 25–30 | 24% |
| Moore by 20–25 | 22% |
| Moore by 15–20 | 7% |
| Moore by 5–15 | 2% |
| Moore by 0–5 | <1% |
| Parsi wins | <1% |