ID Governor forecast
Safe Rep
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time: 10:00 PM ET in most of Idaho, 11:00 PM ET in the Pacific-time north, including Coeur d’Alene and Lewiston
Little 98% chance
- Terri Pickens (D)0% past 7 days2%
- Brad Little (R)0% past 7 days98%
Chance over time
- Pickens2%
- Little98%
Chance over time, past month: Pickens from 2% to 2%; Little from 98% to 98%.
| Date | Pickens | Little |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 2% | 98% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 3% | 98% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 2% | 98% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 2% | 98% |
Projected margin
Most likely Little by 25–30 · 8 in 10: Little +39.7 to Little +15.9
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Little by 50+ | 3% |
| Little by 45–50 | 1% |
| Little by 40–45 | 5% |
| Little by 35–40 | 12% |
| Little by 30–35 | 11% |
| Little by 25–30 | 28% |
| Little by 20–25 | 16% |
| Little by 15–20 | 18% |
| Little by 10–15 | 4% |
| Little by 0–10 | 2% |
| Pickens wins | 1% |