ID-01 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time: 10:00 PM ET in most of Idaho, 11:00 PM ET in the Pacific-time north, including Coeur d’Alene and Lewiston
Fulcher 96% chance
- Kaylee Peterson (D)0% past 7 days3%
- Russ Fulcher (R)0% past 7 days96%
Chance over time
- Peterson3%
- Fulcher96%
Chance over time, past month: Peterson from 5% to 3%; Fulcher from 95% to 96%.
| Date | Peterson | Fulcher |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 3% | 95% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 2% | 97% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 3% | 96% |
Projected margin
Most likely Fulcher by 30–35 · 8 in 10: Fulcher +39.2 to Fulcher +15.2
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Fulcher by 50+ | 1% |
| Fulcher by 45–50 | 1% |
| Fulcher by 40–45 | 4% |
| Fulcher by 35–40 | 23% |
| Fulcher by 30–35 | 24% |
| Fulcher by 25–30 | 18% |
| Fulcher by 20–25 | 13% |
| Fulcher by 10–20 | 13% |
| Fulcher by 0–10 | 3% |
| Peterson wins | <1% |
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. Russ Fulcher (R)
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