WI-01 House forecast
Lean Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time
Steil 58% chance
- Mitchell Berman (D)+6% past 7 days42%
- Bryan Steil (R)-6% past 7 days58%
Chance over time
- Berman42%
- Steil58%
Chance over time, past month: Berman from 35% to 42%; Steil from 67% to 58%.
| Date | Berman | Steil |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 35% | 67% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 34% | 67% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 35% | 63% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 37% | 64% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 42% | 58% |
Projected margin
Most likely Berman by 0–3 · 8 in 10: Steil +12 to Berman +6.4
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Steil by 12+ | 16% |
| Steil by 9–12 | 1% |
| Steil by 6–9 | 15% |
| Steil by 3–6 | 11% |
| Steil by 0–3 | 16% |
| Berman by 0–3 | 22% |
| Berman by 3–6 | 8% |
| Berman by 6–9 | 5% |
| Berman by 9–12 | 3% |
| Berman by 12+ | 2% |