WI-05 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time
Fitzgerald 97% chance
- Andrew Beck (D)0% past 7 days2%
- Scott Fitzgerald (R)+3% past 7 days97%
Chance over time
- Beck2%
- Fitzgerald97%
Chance over time, past month: Beck from 4% to 2%; Fitzgerald from 96% to 97%.
| Date | Beck | Fitzgerald |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 2% | 96% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 2% | 97% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 2% | 97% |
Projected margin
Most likely Fitzgerald by 15–20 · 8 in 10: Fitzgerald +28.7 to Fitzgerald +6.4
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Fitzgerald by 35+ | 3% |
| Fitzgerald by 30–35 | 4% |
| Fitzgerald by 25–30 | 15% |
| Fitzgerald by 20–25 | 17% |
| Fitzgerald by 15–20 | 25% |
| Fitzgerald by 10–15 | 18% |
| Fitzgerald by 5–10 | 13% |
| Fitzgerald by 0–5 | 1% |
| Beck wins | 5% |