WI-07 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time
Alfonso 95% chance
- Fred Clark (D)0% past 7 days4%
- Michael Alfonso (R)0% past 7 days95%
Chance over time
- Clark4%
- Alfonso95%
Chance over time, past month: Clark from 5% to 4%; Alfonso from 93% to 95%.
| Date | Clark | Alfonso |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 4% | 95% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 4% | 95% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 4% | 95% |
Projected margin
Most likely Alfonso by 5–10 · 8 in 10: Alfonso +27 to Alfonso +5.5
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Alfonso by 30+ | 7% |
| Alfonso by 25–30 | 5% |
| Alfonso by 20–25 | 8% |
| Alfonso by 15–20 | 25% |
| Alfonso by 10–15 | 22% |
| Alfonso by 5–10 | 26% |
| Alfonso by 0–5 | 5% |
| Clark wins | 3% |