WI-08 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time
Wied 90% chance
- Rick Crosson (D)-2% past 7 days11%
- Tony Wied (R)+3% past 7 days90%
Chance over time
- Crosson11%
- Wied90%
Chance over time, past month: Crosson from 9% to 11%; Wied from 89% to 90%.
| Date | Crosson | Wied |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 9% | 90% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 10% | 88% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 11% | 88% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 13% | 87% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 11% | 90% |
Projected margin
Most likely Wied by 9–12 · 8 in 10: Wied +19.3 to Wied +0.5
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Wied by 21+ | 3% |
| Wied by 18–21 | 12% |
| Wied by 15–18 | 6% |
| Wied by 12–15 | 16% |
| Wied by 9–12 | 16% |
| Wied by 6–9 | 16% |
| Wied by 3–6 | 12% |
| Wied by 0–3 | 11% |
| Crosson by 0–3 | 6% |
| Crosson by 3+ | 2% |