MN-02 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time
Little 95% chance
- Matt Little (D)+5% past 7 days95%
- Eric Pratt (R)-2% past 7 days4%
Chance over time
- Little95%
- Pratt4%
Chance over time, past month: Little from 94% to 95%; Pratt from 6% to 4%.
| Date | Little | Pratt |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 94% | 7% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 95% | 7% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 93% | 4% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 91% | 6% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 95% | 4% |
Projected margin
Most likely Little by 10–15 · 8 in 10: Little +3 to Little +24.1
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Pratt wins | 4% |
| Little by 0–5 | 10% |
| Little by 5–10 | 19% |
| Little by 10–15 | 21% |
| Little by 15–20 | 20% |
| Little by 20–25 | 19% |
| Little by 25–30 | 3% |
| Little by 30+ | 4% |