Helm

MN Governor forecast

Safe Dem

Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time

Klobuchar 95% chance

  • Amy Klobuchar (D)-1% past 7 days95%
  • Lisa Demuth (R)0% past 7 days5%

Chance over time

  • Klobuchar95%
  • Demuth5%

Chance over time, past month: Klobuchar from 95% to 95%; Demuth from 5% to 5%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateKlobucharDemuth
Sep 23, 202696%5%
Sep 30, 202696%5%
Oct 7, 202696%5%
Oct 14, 202696%5%
Oct 21, 202695%5%

Projected margin

Most likely Klobuchar by 10–15 · 8 in 10: Klobuchar +5 to Klobuchar +23.8

Margin forecast from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
Projected margin of victory
MarginChance
Demuth wins4%
Klobuchar by 0–56%
Klobuchar by 5–1022%
Klobuchar by 10–1534%
Klobuchar by 15–2016%
Klobuchar by 20–2510%
Klobuchar by 25–306%
Klobuchar by 30+1%

Helm simulation

Counts toward the simulated number of governorships. There is no published control question for governors.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • Governorship held by Democrats.

More in Minnesota

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM