MN-07 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time
Fischbach 94% chance
- Erik Osberg (D)+1% past 7 days4%
- Michelle Fischbach (R)-3% past 7 days94%
Chance over time
- Osberg4%
- Fischbach95%
Chance over time, past month: Osberg from 5% to 4%; Fischbach from 95% to 95%.
| Date | Osberg | Fischbach |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 4% | 95% |
Projected margin
Most likely Fischbach by 25–30 · 8 in 10: Fischbach +41.3 to Fischbach +12
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Fischbach by 45+ | 4% |
| Fischbach by 40–45 | 8% |
| Fischbach by 35–40 | 5% |
| Fischbach by 30–35 | 8% |
| Fischbach by 25–30 | 25% |
| Fischbach by 20–25 | 24% |
| Fischbach by 15–20 | 15% |
| Fischbach by 5–15 | 5% |
| Fischbach by 0–5 | 4% |
| Osberg wins | 3% |