OK Governor forecast
Safe Rep
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Mazzei 90% chance
- Cyndi Munson (D)+2% past 7 days11%
- Mike Mazzei (R)-1% past 7 days90%
Chance over time
- Munson11%
- Mazzei90%
Chance over time, past month: Munson from 8% to 11%; Mazzei from 92% to 90%.
| Date | Munson | Mazzei |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 8% | 93% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 8% | 94% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 8% | 93% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 9% | 90% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 11% | 90% |
Projected margin
Most likely Mazzei by 5–10 · 8 in 10: Mazzei +31.2 to Mazzei +1.3
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Mazzei by 35+ | 4% |
| Mazzei by 30–35 | 8% |
| Mazzei by 25–30 | 3% |
| Mazzei by 20–25 | 6% |
| Mazzei by 15–20 | 11% |
| Mazzei by 10–15 | 23% |
| Mazzei by 5–10 | 27% |
| Mazzei by 0–5 | 10% |
| Munson wins | 7% |