OK-02 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Brecheen 98% chance
- Brandon Wade (D)+1% past 7 days2%
- Josh Brecheen (R)0% past 7 days98%
Chance over time
- Wade2%
- Brecheen98%
Chance over time, past month: Wade from 2% to 2%; Brecheen from 96% to 98%.
| Date | Wade | Brecheen |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 2% | 96% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 2% | 96% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 2% | 98% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 1% | 98% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 2% | 97% |
Projected margin
Most likely Brecheen by 35–40 · 8 in 10: Brecheen +51.3 to Brecheen +31.1
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Brecheen by 60+ | 4% |
| Brecheen by 55–60 | 4% |
| Brecheen by 50–55 | 2% |
| Brecheen by 45–50 | 23% |
| Brecheen by 40–45 | 17% |
| Brecheen by 35–40 | 26% |
| Brecheen by 30–35 | 18% |
| Brecheen by 20–30 | 3% |
| Brecheen by 0–20 | 2% |
| Wade wins | 1% |