OK-01 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Tedford 98% chance
- John Croisant (D)0% past 7 days2%
- Mark Tedford (R)+1% past 7 days98%
Chance over time
- Croisant2%
- Tedford98%
Chance over time, past month: Croisant from 8% to 2%; Tedford from 93% to 98%.
| Date | Croisant | Tedford |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 8% | 93% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 8% | 92% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 1% | 97% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 2% | 97% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 2% | 98% |
Projected margin
Most likely Tedford by 15–20 · 8 in 10: Tedford +24 to Tedford +8.3
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Tedford by 30+ | 4% |
| Tedford by 25–30 | 3% |
| Tedford by 20–25 | 14% |
| Tedford by 15–20 | 36% |
| Tedford by 10–15 | 29% |
| Tedford by 5–10 | 10% |
| Tedford by 0–5 | 2% |
| Croisant wins | 2% |