Helm

LA-04 House forecast

Safe Rep2026 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time

Republicans 95% chance

  • Democrats +1% past 7 days5%
  • Republicans 0% past 7 days95%

Chance over time

  • Democrats5%
  • Republicans95%

Chance over time, past month: Democrats from 6% to 5%; Republicans from 95% to 95%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateDemocratsRepublicans
Sep 22, 20265%95%
Sep 29, 20263%95%
Oct 6, 20265%95%
Oct 14, 20265%95%
Oct 21, 20265%95%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

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Context

  • New lines for 2026: the current LA-04 member was elected on different lines.

More in Louisiana

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM