Helm

MS-03 House forecast

Safe Rep2024 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time

Guest 98% chance

  • Michael Chiaradio (D)0% past 7 days<1%
  • Michael Guest (R)0% past 7 days98%

Chance over time

  • Chiaradio<1%
  • Guest98%

Chance over time, past month: Chiaradio from 1% to <1%; Guest from 98% to 98%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateChiaradioGuest
Sep 22, 20261%98%
Sep 29, 20261%98%
Oct 7, 2026<1%99%
Oct 14, 2026<1%98%
Oct 21, 2026<1%98%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Context

  • Held by Rep. Michael Guest (R)

More in Mississippi

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM