VA-11 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close
Walkinshaw 97% chance
- James Walkinshaw (D)-1% past 7 days97%
- Arthur Purves (R)+1% past 7 days2%
Chance over time
- Walkinshaw97%
- Purves2%
Chance over time, past month: Walkinshaw from 97% to 97%; Purves from <1% to 2%.
| Date | Walkinshaw | Purves |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 97% | <1% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 98% | <1% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 98% | <1% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. James R. Walkinshaw (D)
More in Virginia
Ballot measures
- Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?Yes 91%