Helm

MS-02 House forecast

Safe Dem2024 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time

Thompson 97% chance

  • Bennie Thompson (D)0% past 7 days97%
  • Ron Eller (R)0% past 7 days2%

Chance over time

  • Thompson97%
  • Eller3%

Chance over time, past month: Thompson from 94% to 97%; Eller from 7% to 3%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateThompsonEller
Sep 23, 202698%2%
Sep 30, 202697%3%
Oct 7, 202697%2%
Oct 14, 202697%3%
Oct 21, 202697%3%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • Held by Rep. Bennie G. Thompson (D)

More in Mississippi

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM