Helm

MS-04 House forecast

Safe Rep2024 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time

Ezell 96% chance

  • Jeffrey Hulum III (D)+1% past 7 days4%
  • Mike Ezell (R)0% past 7 days96%

Chance over time

  • Hulum4%
  • Ezell96%

Chance over time, past month: Hulum from 3% to 4%; Ezell from 97% to 96%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateHulumEzell
Sep 22, 20263%97%
Sep 29, 20264%96%
Oct 6, 20264%96%
Oct 14, 20264%97%
Oct 21, 20264%96%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • Held by Rep. Mike Ezell (R)

More in Mississippi

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM