Helm

MS Senate forecast

Safe Rep

Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time

Hyde-Smith 89% chance

  • Scott Colom (D)+4% past 7 days12%
  • Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)-4% past 7 days89%

Chance over time

  • Colom12%
  • Hyde-Smith89%

Chance over time, past month: Colom from 6% to 12%; Hyde-Smith from 94% to 89%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateColomHyde-Smith
Sep 22, 20269%92%
Sep 29, 202610%92%
Oct 7, 20269%93%
Oct 14, 20268%93%
Oct 21, 202612%89%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Decides Senate control in 2 of 100 simulations.

In simulated elections where Colom wins, Democrats win the Senate in 92 of 100. Where Hyde-Smith wins, in 61 of 100.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • Seat held by Republicans.

More in Mississippi

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM