MA Governor forecast
Safe Dem
Polls close
Healey 96% chance
- Maura Healey (D)0% past 7 days96%
- Michael Minogue (R)0% past 7 days4%
Chance over time
- Healey96%
- Minogue4%
Chance over time, past month: Healey from 96% to 96%; Minogue from 4% to 4%.
| Date | Healey | Minogue |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
Projected margin
Most likely Healey by 20–25 · 8 in 10: Healey +6 to Healey +34.8
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Minogue wins | 4% |
| Healey by 0–5 | 5% |
| Healey by 5–10 | 8% |
| Healey by 10–15 | 3% |
| Healey by 15–20 | 17% |
| Healey by 20–25 | 20% |
| Healey by 25–30 | 18% |
| Healey by 30–35 | 15% |
| Healey by 35–40 | 4% |
| Healey by 40+ | 6% |
Helm simulation
Counts toward the simulated number of governorships. There is no published control question for governors.
Context
- Governorship held by Democrats.
More in Massachusetts
Ballot measures
- Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?Yes 59%