MA-02 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close
McGovern 96% chance
- Jim McGovern (D)+1% past 7 days96%
- Republicans 0% past 7 days4%
Chance over time
- McGovern96%
- Republicans4%
Chance over time, past month: McGovern from 95% to 96%; Republicans from 5% to 4%.
| Date | McGovern | Republicans |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 95% | 5% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 95% | 5% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 96% | 5% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. James P. McGovern (D)
More in Massachusetts
Ballot measures
- Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?Yes 59%