MA-01 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close
Neal 97% chance
- Richard Neal (D)+1% past 7 days97%
- Republicans 0% past 7 days2%
Chance over time
- Neal97%
- Republicans2%
Chance over time, past month: Neal from 95% to 97%; Republicans from 5% to 2%.
| Date | Neal | Republicans |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 95% | 5% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 95% | 5% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. Richard E. Neal (D)
More in Massachusetts
Ballot measures
- Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?Yes 59%