UT-03 House forecast
Safe Rep2026 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; vote centers are open too
Maloy 98% chance
- Kent Udell (D)-1% past 7 days2%
- Celeste Maloy (R)0% past 7 days98%
Chance over time
- Udell2%
- Maloy98%
Chance over time, past month: Udell from 5% to 2%; Maloy from 96% to 98%.
| Date | Udell | Maloy |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 6% | 95% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 5% | 93% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 2% | 98% |
Projected margin
Most likely Maloy by 30–35 · 8 in 10: Maloy +42.5 to Maloy +14.7
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Maloy by 50+ | 1% |
| Maloy by 45–50 | 4% |
| Maloy by 40–45 | 10% |
| Maloy by 35–40 | 10% |
| Maloy by 30–35 | 29% |
| Maloy by 25–30 | 16% |
| Maloy by 20–25 | 9% |
| Maloy by 10–20 | 19% |
| Maloy by 0–10 | 1% |
| Udell wins | <1% |