WY-AL House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Gray 97% chance
- Lisa Kinney (D)+2% past 7 days2%
- Chuck Gray (R)-1% past 7 days97%
Chance over time
- Kinney2%
- Gray97%
Chance over time, past month: Kinney from <1% to 2%; Gray from 98% to 97%.
| Date | Kinney | Gray |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | <1% | 98% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | <1% | 99% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | <1% | 98% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | <1% | 98% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 2% | 97% |
Projected margin
Most likely Gray by 35–40 · 8 in 10: Gray +43.8 to Gray +7.4
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Gray by 50+ | 1% |
| Gray by 45–50 | 5% |
| Gray by 40–45 | 16% |
| Gray by 35–40 | 20% |
| Gray by 30–35 | 18% |
| Gray by 25–30 | 7% |
| Gray by 20–25 | 9% |
| Gray by 10–20 | 12% |
| Gray by 0–10 | 10% |
| Kinney wins | 2% |
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. Harriet M. Hageman (R)