WY Governor forecast
Safe Rep
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Barlow 98% chance
- Kenneth Casner (D)0% past 7 days1%
- Eric Barlow (R)0% past 7 days98%
Chance over time
- Casner1%
- Barlow98%
Chance over time, past month: Casner from 3% to 1%; Barlow from 95% to 98%.
| Date | Casner | Barlow |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 3% | 95% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 2% | 98% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 1% | 98% |
Projected margin
Most likely Barlow by 45–50 · 8 in 10: Barlow +49.3 to Barlow +18.9
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Barlow by 50+ | 7% |
| Barlow by 45–50 | 22% |
| Barlow by 40–45 | 22% |
| Barlow by 35–40 | 10% |
| Barlow by 30–35 | 16% |
| Barlow by 25–30 | 8% |
| Barlow by 20–25 | 3% |
| Barlow by 15–20 | 6% |
| Barlow by 10–15 | 3% |
| Barlow by 0–10 | 2% |
| Casner wins | <1% |