AK-AL House forecast
Likely Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time: midnight ET in most of Alaska, 1:00 AM ET in the western Aleutians
Republicans 82% chance
- Bill Hill +6% past 7 days17%
- Republicans -4% past 7 days82%
Chance over time
- Hill17%
- Republicans82%
Chance over time, past month: Hill from 14% to 17%; Republicans from 89% to 82%.
| Date | Hill | Republicans |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | 11% | 84% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 12% | 86% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 11% | 86% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 17% | 82% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. Nicholas J. Begich III (R)
More in Alaska
Ballot measures
- Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Yes 87%
- Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?No 61%