WA-03 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; vote centers are open too
Perez 90% chance
- Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)+1% past 7 days90%
- John Braun (R)-2% past 7 days9%
Chance over time
- Perez90%
- Braun9%
Chance over time, past month: Perez from 91% to 90%; Braun from 8% to 9%.
| Date | Perez | Braun |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 91% | 8% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 90% | 9% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 90% | 11% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 90% | 11% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 90% | 9% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
In simulated elections where Perez wins, Democrats win the House in 93 of 100. Where Braun wins, in 77 of 100.
Context
- Held by Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)
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