WA-04 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; vote centers are open too
McKinney 93% chance
- John Duresky (D)0% past 7 days7%
- Amanda McKinney (R)0% past 7 days93%
Chance over time
- Duresky7%
- McKinney93%
Chance over time, past month: Duresky from 8% to 7%; McKinney from 92% to 93%.
| Date | Duresky | McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 7% | 92% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 7% | 92% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 7% | 93% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 7% | 93% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 7% | 92% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. Dan Newhouse (R)
More in Washington
Ballot measures
- Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Yes 54%
- Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?No 69%