WA-09 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; vote centers are open too
Smith 97% chance
- Adam Smith (D)0% past 7 days97%
- Doug Basler (R)0% past 7 days2%
Chance over time
- Smith97%
- Basler2%
Chance over time, past month: Smith from 96% to 97%; Basler from 2% to 2%.
| Date | Smith | Basler |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 96% | 2% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 94% | 2% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. Adam Smith (D)
More in Washington
Ballot measures
- Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Yes 54%
- Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?No 69%