SC-06 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close
Clyburn 96% chance
- Jim Clyburn (D)+1% past 7 days96%
- John Peterson (R)-1% past 7 days2%
Chance over time
- Clyburn97%
- Peterson2%
Chance over time, past month: Clyburn from 95% to 97%; Peterson from 6% to 2%.
| Date | Clyburn | Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 97% | 4% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 97% | 1% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 97% | 3% |
Projected margin
Most likely Clyburn by 30–35 · 8 in 10: Clyburn +8.5 to Clyburn +40
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Peterson wins | 4% |
| Clyburn by 0–5 | 5% |
| Clyburn by 5–15 | 3% |
| Clyburn by 15–20 | 9% |
| Clyburn by 20–25 | 7% |
| Clyburn by 25–30 | 18% |
| Clyburn by 30–35 | 26% |
| Clyburn by 35–40 | 18% |
| Clyburn by 40–45 | 6% |
| Clyburn by 45+ | 4% |