Helm

SC-03 House forecast

Safe Rep2024 lines

Polls close

Biggs 96% chance

  • Eunice Lehmacher (D)-2% past 7 days1%
  • Sheri Biggs (R)0% past 7 days96%

Chance over time

  • Lehmacher2%
  • Biggs97%

Chance over time, past month: Lehmacher from 4% to 2%; Biggs from 95% to 97%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateLehmacherBiggs
Sep 23, 20264%95%
Sep 30, 20263%95%
Oct 7, 20263%96%
Oct 14, 20263%96%
Oct 21, 20262%96%

Projected margin

Most likely Biggs by 35–40 · 8 in 10: Biggs +44.7 to Biggs +25.2

Margin forecast from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
Projected margin of victory
MarginChance
Biggs by 50+4%
Biggs by 45–505%
Biggs by 40–4519%
Biggs by 35–4030%
Biggs by 30–3518%
Biggs by 25–3015%
Biggs by 20–254%
Biggs by 10–203%
Biggs by 0–102%
Lehmacher wins<1%

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • Held by Rep. Sheri Biggs (R)

More in South Carolina

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM